Why The Longhorns Will Defeat The Tide

Nearly everyone is picking Alabama to defeat Texas in the BCS Championship. I hear about the Tide's awesome defense and how Texas was just lucky to be in the Game. Well let us take a look at the team from an unbiased point of view. The Stats.

Nebraska/Tennessee..UT escaped with a field goal on the last play of the game. Few people seem to acknowledge the Tide escaped with a blocked 44 yard field goal attempt by Tennessee on the last play of the game. Texas had more yards than Nebraska..more first downs..Alabama was out gained by over a 100 yards..had fewer first downs and had to block two field goals.

Texas A&M/Auburn..These are both rivalry games. They are hard to play and harder to win. You nearly throw out the records. Texas ran into a QB playing out of his mind. He had done nothing close before this and nothing afterward. Colt McCoy had a career day. In a game where he had to step up he did big time. He threw for over 300 yards and four touchdowns. He also ran for 175 and another touchdown. Texas out gained A&M..had more first downs and won by 10...Auburn out gained Alabama ..had more first downs and held Alabama to 5/14 on third down. They also held Ingram to 30 yards on 16 carries.

Defense......You hear a lot about Alabama defense and with good reason. They are really good and stand as number one in the NCAA..but...Texas is number eight..Plus on offense Alabama wants to run the ball and UT is the number one rushing defense..On offense Texas wants to pass..Alabama is number thirteen in pass defense..A word about Texas' defense coordinator Will Muschamp. He was the coordinator at Auburn and Texas runs the same defense that held Ingram to 30 yards..Texas is also tied for # 1 in the nation in interceptions..Ala. is # 20..Texas is # 3 in tackles for loss..Ala. is # 20..Sacks Texas # 5..Ala..# 20..

Offense...Not ever close..UT is # 4 in scoring offense..averaging over 40 points a game..Alabama is number 27 and scores more than 10 point a game less..Texas QB Colt McCoy is a fifth year senior and is undefeated in bowl games..Including two previous BCS games..,Alabama QB Greg MeElroy is a junior who wasn't a starter until this season.

My Conclusions:  Special Teams are a wash as both teams are really good. Texas does have a big advantage in KO returner D J Monroe who is number two with nearly 40 yards a return..The big difference is what the teams want to do on offense and what the defenses are good at..Texas wants to pass and will go against the # 13 pass defense..Alabama wants to run and Texas is the # 1 rushing defense..Add this to the historical fact that Alabama has never defeated Texas..(0-9)..

I rest my case..Except for...U T.....28.....Alabama 17